Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (18 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (British): 49
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1116 | 1091 | 54% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1223 | 37% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1001 | 1019 | 47% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 934 | 964 | 46% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1031 | 956 | 61% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1137 | 956 | 74% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1132 | 54% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1017 | 80% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1154 | 1151 | 50% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1031 | 1077 | 43% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1158 | 1098 | 59% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1152 | 1225 | 40% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1107 | 47% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1029 | 62% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1083.2 vs 1082.3 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).