Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (20 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 52
Defender wins (British): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1223 | 35% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 923 | 71% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1031 | 964 | 60% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1084 | 1023 | 59% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1142 | 1023 | 66% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1072 | 54% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1117 | 39% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 895 | 1137 | 20% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1008 | 80% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1110 | 1137 | 46% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1084 | 1078 | 51% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1100 | 56% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1174 | 1233 | 42% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1081 | 43% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1118 | 1047 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1066 vs 1082.2 has a 47.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).