Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (19 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (British): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1093 | 57% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1224 | 34% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1089 | 923 | 72% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 964 | 46% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1075 | 1035 | 56% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1130 | 1035 | 63% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1102 | 50% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 898 | 1141 | 20% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1009 | 81% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1151 | 1134 | 52% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1075 | 1078 | 50% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1100 | 55% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1123 | 1233 | 35% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1082 | 46% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1104 | 1030 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1087.8 has a 47.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).