Cornwalls' Rum Ration
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (22 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 53
Defender wins (British): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-11-06 | Won |
| 1031 | 994 | 55% | 2025-05-29 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1222 | 38% | 2025-03-09 | Won |
| 1080 | 1152 | 40% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1030 | 964 | 59% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1167 | 976 | 75% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 1195 | 976 | 78% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1042 | 58% | 2021-11-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
| 901 | 1187 | 16% | 2018-02-26 | Lost |
| 1182 | 950 | 79% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
| 1025 | 1004 | 53% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2013-09-03 | Won |
| 1167 | 1078 | 63% | 2010-10-31 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1101 | 67% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1344 | 613 | 99% | 2010-04-10 | Won |
| 1119 | 1119 | 50% | 2010-01-24 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2009-09-11 | Won |
| 777 | 1141 | 11% | 2009-05-05 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1028 | 48% | 2009-03-29 | Won |
| 1060 | 1176 | 34% | 2009-01-15 | Won |
| 1078 | 1017 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1082.7 vs 1050.9 has a 54.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).