Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 987 | 1115 | 32% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1036 | 71% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1053 | 46% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1259 | 14% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1128 | 55% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1048 | 1077 | 46% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.8 vs 1081.7 has a 48.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).