Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 927 | 1057 | 32% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1019 | 49% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1089 | 43% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 996 | 1085 | 37% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1132 | 971 | 72% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1075 | 1065 | 51% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1252 | 14% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1193 | 44% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1068 | 59% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1137 | 52% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1081.5 has a 47.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).