Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1056 | 952 | 65% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1048 | 45% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1085 | 55% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1052 | 46% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 999 | 68% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 984 | 56% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 974 | 1153 | 26% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1220 | 17% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1063 | 62% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1141 | 1153 | 48% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1058.5 has a 47.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).