Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Canadian): 6
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1005 | 51% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1009 | 54% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1015 | 1061 | 43% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1195 | 938 | 81% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1009 | 52% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 1050 | 1066 | 48% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 938 | 1233 | 15% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1213 | 43% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1010 | 53% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1168 | 1060 | 65% | 2008-11-15 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072 vs 1064.4 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).