Farmyard Affray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2025-11-10 | Lost |
| 984 | 1031 | 43% | 2025-06-20 | Lost |
| 1011 | 977 | 55% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1107 | 52% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1027 | 1030 | 50% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1143 | 998 | 70% | 2024-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 969 | 58% | 2024-06-23 | Won |
| 968 | 1153 | 26% | 2022-10-01 | Won |
| 939 | 1225 | 16% | 2018-08-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1083 | 60% | 2013-10-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1110 | 37% | 2012-05-12 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1015 | 52% | 2009-03-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 1153 | 48% | 2008-10-12 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.1 vs 1067.9 has a 46.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).