A Pleasant Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (American): 8
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1007 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 1026 | 1007 | 53% | 2023-01-16 | Lost |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1058 | 998 | 59% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 998 | 1058 | 41% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 1151 | 1250 | 36% | 2015-09-29 | Lost |
| 951 | 1054 | 36% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
| 1060 | 983 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-01-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2012-09-25 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1310 | 24% | 2011-11-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 988 | 65% | 2010-04-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 971 | 49% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1039 | 50% | 2010-01-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1149 | 20% | 2009-10-26 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1081 | 60% | 2009-08-31 | Lost |
| 872 | 1001 | 32% | 2009-02-12 | Won |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2009-01-03 | Tied |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1044.5 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).