Stubborn Ferdinand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (8 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 29
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 898 | 77% | 2025-11-21 | Won |
| 1186 | 914 | 83% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1254 | 953 | 85% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1014 | 80% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1080 | 1266 | 26% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1003 | 1094 | 37% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1089 | 46% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 1249 | 973 | 83% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1149.6 vs 1025.1 has a 67.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).