Stubborn Ferdinand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (7 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 913 | 79% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1256 | 954 | 85% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1014 | 80% | 2019-06-21 | Won |
| 1089 | 1247 | 29% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1028 | 1094 | 41% | 2009-05-01 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1050 | 52% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 1251 | 1013 | 80% | 2008-08-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1154.4 vs 1040.7 has a 65.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).