The Bulge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1137 | 1156 | 47% | 2024-02-20 | Won |
| 1009 | 997 | 52% | 2020-06-24 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2020-06-03 | Lost |
| 892 | 1192 | 15% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2017-07-01 | Won |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
| 1067 | 982 | 62% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2010-08-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1092 | 58% | 2009-09-26 | Won |
| 1152 | 712 | 93% | 2009-05-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 613 | 95% | 2009-04-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 1058 | 54% | 2009-01-19 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1040.3 vs 1004 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).