Old Hickory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (10 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 15
Defender wins (American): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1018 | 46% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
| 911 | 1010 | 36% | 2020-01-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 993 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1169 | 32% | 2017-03-04 | Won |
| 1012 | 925 | 62% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2015-07-01 | Lost |
| 997 | 1012 | 48% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2009-09-12 | Won |
| 1080 | 1064 | 52% | 2008-09-28 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1020.4 has a 53.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).