Apples to Apples
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2023-12-12 | Won |
| 1223 | 1123 | 64% | 2023-08-04 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1118 | 50% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
| 1037 | 962 | 61% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 847 | 870 | 47% | 2015-08-05 | Lost |
| 1110 | 970 | 69% | 2014-04-23 | Won |
| 1058 | 973 | 62% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2010-09-19 | Lost |
| 967 | 1117 | 30% | 2010-01-02 | Won |
| 1076 | 1228 | 29% | 2009-03-31 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1032 | 53% | 2008-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.4 vs 1027.5 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).