A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (14 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 954 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1174 | 1138 | 55% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 1340 | 1229 | 65% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 970 | 921 | 57% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 970 | 1110 | 31% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 1041 | 42% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 973 | 65% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1023 | 872 | 70% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1149 | 44% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1035 | 1284 | 19% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1122 | 999 | 67% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1213 | 27% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1117 | 985 | 68% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1081.6 vs 1065.3 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).