A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (16 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-09-25 | | Won |
| 925 | 1263 | 13% | 2018-04-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-04-14 | | Won |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-12-13 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1126 | 28% | 2013-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2013-08-07 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2010-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-06-28 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2009-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1025 | 1129 | 35% | 2009-03-25 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1088 | 73% | 2009-02-01 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-10-02 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1010 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2008-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1067.3 vs 1047.5 has a 52.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).