A Lesson for Lehr
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (14 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (American): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1122 | 1147 | 46% | 2022-09-25 | Won |
| 1310 | 1229 | 61% | 2015-04-14 | Won |
| 970 | 920 | 57% | 2013-12-13 | Lost |
| 970 | 1141 | 27% | 2013-12-11 | Lost |
| 984 | 988 | 49% | 2013-08-07 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1141 | 38% | 2010-06-13 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1046 | 74% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1019 | 871 | 70% | 2009-04-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1148 | 46% | 2009-03-25 | Won |
| 1029 | 1272 | 20% | 2008-10-02 | Won |
| 1110 | 1000 | 65% | 2008-08-22 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
| 1131 | 985 | 70% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1070.4 vs 1071.9 has a 49.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).