Second Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 21
Defender wins (German (SS)): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2025-06-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2024-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1217 | 734 | 94% | 2024-07-01 | | Won |
| 987 | 1029 | 44% | 2019-03-09 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2019-02-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2019-02-11 | | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2017-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1108 | 56% | 2012-12-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2012-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-05-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2009-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2009-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2008-09-06 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1046.4 vs 1020.1 has a 53.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).