Second Cristot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 985 | 46% | 2025-06-08 | Won |
| 937 | 971 | 45% | 2024-10-20 | Lost |
| 1275 | 745 | 95% | 2024-07-01 | Won |
| 961 | 919 | 56% | 2019-03-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1048 | 74% | 2019-02-26 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2019-02-11 | Won |
| 857 | 1127 | 17% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1058 | 53% | 2017-06-15 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1096 | 45% | 2012-12-16 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1007 | 51% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2009-04-20 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1047 | 74% | 2009-02-01 | Won |
| 1127 | 1127 | 50% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1027.8 has a 54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).