The Ceramic Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS)): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1110 | 33% | 2019-03-29 | Lost |
| 929 | 1231 | 15% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Tied |
| 1089 | 996 | 63% | 2011-10-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1181 | 26% | 2010-09-06 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2009-10-10 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2009-09-17 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1084 | 81% | 2009-07-27 | Tied |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2009-05-30 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2008-08-10 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.3 vs 1104.8 has a 37.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).