Tough As Nails
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 1080 | 36% | 2025-02-03 | Won |
| 1059 | 1120 | 41% | 2023-02-20 | Won |
| 1220 | 1094 | 67% | 2019-11-20 | Lost |
| 1202 | 841 | 89% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 993 | 1215 | 22% | 2018-08-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1068 | 1066 | 50% | 2016-02-03 | Lost |
| 994 | 1153 | 29% | 2015-06-26 | Lost |
| 998 | 868 | 68% | 2014-03-11 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1062.4 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).