Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (16 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 901 | 901 | 50% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 979 | 1080 | 36% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1124 | 48% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1091 | 56% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1202 | 1079 | 67% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 853 | 998 | 30% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 805 | 1223 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1020 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 960 | 69% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1323 | 1056 | 82% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1059 | 52% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.1 vs 1051.7 has a 51.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).