Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (18 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 35
Defender wins (Chinese): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 882 | 877 | 51% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 989 | 1060 | 40% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1098 | 52% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1090 | 57% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1139 | 1079 | 59% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 854 | 927 | 40% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 802 | 1226 | 8% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1050 | 960 | 63% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2009-04-27 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2008-02-26 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1056 | 83% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1185 | 1014 | 73% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1028 | 56% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.7 vs 1043.9 has a 51.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).