Debacle At Sung Kiang
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (16 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 39
Defender wins (Chinese): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 907 | 48% | 2024-11-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1066 | 42% | 2024-05-22 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1084 | 54% | 2023-08-09 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1046 | 55% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1222 | 1079 | 69% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 853 | 992 | 31% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-06-14 | Won |
| 830 | 1223 | 9% | 2016-04-21 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1025 | 56% | 2015-05-14 | Won |
| 1097 | 975 | 67% | 2009-06-25 | Lost |
| 1278 | 1055 | 78% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1201 | 975 | 79% | 2008-02-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1029 | 56% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062 vs 1041.8 has a 52.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).