The Last Fifteen
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (7 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2023-12-15 | Won |
| 879 | 1023 | 30% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 898 | 954 | 42% | 2013-10-20 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 994 | 1067 | 40% | 2013-02-11 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
| 1150 | 978 | 73% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 989.4 vs 1036.4 has a 43.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).