Enter Dragan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 19
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1012 | 1107 | 37% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1107 | 40% | 2021-02-25 | Lost |
| 1059 | 996 | 59% | 2016-12-31 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1074 | 52% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 788 | 82% | 2015-06-10 | Won |
| 1066 | 931 | 69% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 1100 | 21% | 2011-07-09 | Won |
| 1086 | 1092 | 49% | 2009-01-02 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2008-05-15 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1050.2 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).