Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (16 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 23
Defender wins (German): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2019-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2018-06-06 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 952 | 57% | 2012-11-23 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2012-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1048 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2010-11-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1214 | 23% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1183 | 43% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1134 | 64% | 2010-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2008-11-11 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2008-09-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2008-07-16 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-07-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1051 | 43% | 2008-06-27 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.9 vs 1051.2 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).