On the Verge of Extinction
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 973 | 1004 | 46% | 2015-02-08 | Won |
| 1153 | 1066 | 62% | 2013-02-21 | Lost |
| 900 | 998 | 36% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1081 | 1170 | 37% | 2009-03-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-09-02 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2008-08-14 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1050.5 vs 1072.3 has a 46.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).