Diabolical Shrapnel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (7 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1084 | 55% | 2021-06-28 | | Won |
| 917 | 1045 | 32% | 2021-06-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1001 | 50% | 2021-06-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2017-02-08 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1076 | 31% | 2012-11-18 | | Won |
| 1106 | 1000 | 65% | 2012-08-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 874 | 67% | 2007-10-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.7 vs 1009.6 has a 50.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).