Cavalry Brigade Model
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (16 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 902 | 63% | 2024-03-03 | | Won |
| 1033 | 966 | 60% | 2023-01-26 | A | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2016-12-01 | | Won |
| 1348 | 1126 | 78% | 2013-11-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2013-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2013-10-08 | | Lost |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2013-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1215 | 28% | 2013-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2010-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 1000 | 64% | 2008-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2008-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1056 | 53% | 2008-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2007-10-01 | | Won |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2006-12-23 | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1064.3 has a 47.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).