Heroic Defense of Wake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1050 | 50% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1088 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).