Heroic Defense of Wake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1010 | 986 | 53% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1110 | 1045 | 59% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 975 | 1183 | 23% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1057.5 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).