Heroic Defense of Wake
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (4 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1057 | 50% | 2017-12-22 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2017-06-01 | Won |
| 1014 | 1185 | 27% | 2007-07-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1076.3 has a 49.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).