Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 1218 | 15% | 2020-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2014-05-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2013-11-22 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-09-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 2008-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2007-12-01 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1018.9 vs 1070.9 has a 42.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).