Flea Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 963 | 1214 | 19% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-09-08 | Lost |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 999 | 1053 | 42% | 2014-05-11 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1115 | 46% | 2013-11-22 | Lost |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2012-09-21 | Won |
| 1188 | 1106 | 62% | 2008-12-06 | Lost |
| 1004 | 986 | 53% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1061.8 has a 49.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).