Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 52
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 953 | 47% | 2025-08-31 | Won |
| 908 | 1217 | 14% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1063 | 73% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1063 | 999 | 59% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1220 | 29% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1211 | 50% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1169 | 37% | 2016-02-27 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1079 | 42% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1025 | 44% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1099 | 1062 | 55% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1071 | 1161 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 974 | 1105 | 32% | 2012-05-03 | Won |
| 1085 | 1051 | 55% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 1143 | 987 | 71% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1314 | 1019 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1404 | 1150 | 81% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 1101 | 922 | 74% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 937 | 1340 | 9% | 2008-06-19 | Lost |
| 905 | 1095 | 25% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1171 | 1037 | 68% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 715 | 1171 | 7% | 2008-01-29 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 1089.2 has a 46.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).