Ghost Riders
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (20 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian / German): 35
Defender wins (Russian): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 907 | 1220 | 14% | 2020-07-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1092 | 64% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1057 | 1001 | 58% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
| 1068 | 1211 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1252 | 44% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1148 | 40% | 2016-02-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1092 | 45% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
| 977 | 1060 | 38% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 920 | 976 | 42% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1100 | 1087 | 52% | 2012-09-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1159 | 37% | 2012-06-18 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1052 | 55% | 2010-11-18 | Won |
| 910 | 987 | 39% | 2008-11-27 | Won |
| 1313 | 1011 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Lost |
| 1413 | 1113 | 85% | 2008-09-06 | Won |
| 903 | 1117 | 23% | 2008-05-28 | Won |
| 1170 | 1037 | 68% | 2008-05-24 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 2008-01-29 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1133 | 50% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1029 | 59% | 2007-10-02 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.6 vs 1096.3 has a 45.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).