ASL Scenario Archive

Purple Heart Lane

Games with no balance used/recorded: 43

Attacker wins (American): 21

Defender wins (German): 22

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
956	1089	32%	2025-02-12	Lost
1015	1005	51%	2024-11-26	Won
880	1006	33%	2024-10-05	Won
1218	1266	43%	2023-12-20	Lost
1056	1075	47%	2023-02-13	Lost
1056	1075	47%	2023-02-03	Won
1049	1049	50%	2022-08-14	Lost
1024	996	54%	2020-09-22	Won
985	1006	47%	2020-06-25	Lost
1431	1141	84%	2019-12-27	Won
912	923	48%	2019-10-11	Lost
880	1214	13%	2019-10-08	Lost
989	1026	45%	2019-05-06	Lost
1046	934	66%	2019-04-05	Won
1093	1093	50%	2017-07-25	Lost
986	851	69%	2015-11-20	Won
986	851	69%	2015-11-20	Won
1113	1111	50%	2015-11-18	Won
1099	1113	48%	2015-08-25	Lost
1158	1132	54%	2015-06-20	Lost
1038	962	61%	2014-07-30	Won
1096	972	67%	2014-05-15	Won
1208	1208	50%	2014-05-12	Won
1208	1208	50%	2014-05-03	Lost
981	981	50%	2014-04-03	Won
982	999	48%	2012-09-02	Lost
999	982	52%	2012-09-01	Lost
1025	880	70%	2012-05-08	Won
1025	880	70%	2012-05-08	Lost
1047	1047	50%	2011-11-09	Lost
1005	983	53%	2010-12-01	Won
1093	1033	59%	2010-10-02	Lost
913	1216	15%	2009-12-26	Lost
992	1012	47%	2009-11-10	Won
1004	1026	47%	2009-06-28	Won
1024	1039	48%	2009-04-10	Won
1073	932	69%	2009-03-21	Won
946	1019	40%	2009-03-19	Won
1024	1216	25%	2009-01-04	Lost
1002	955	57%	2008-09-20	Lost
1017	918	64%	2008-07-22	Lost
829	829	50%	2008-02-24	Lost
1009	1009	50%	2007-08-31	Won

Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1029.3 has a 50.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).