Purple Heart Lane
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2025-05-27 | Lost |
| 999 | 1045 | 43% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 984 | 969 | 52% | 2024-11-26 | Won |
| 1010 | 990 | 53% | 2024-10-05 | Won |
| 1218 | 1273 | 42% | 2023-12-20 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1075 | 47% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1075 | 47% | 2023-02-03 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 995 | 54% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 985 | 1006 | 47% | 2020-06-25 | Lost |
| 1431 | 1141 | 84% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
| 912 | 1009 | 36% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1228 | 22% | 2019-10-08 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-05-06 | Lost |
| 1032 | 939 | 63% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 1094 | 1094 | 50% | 2017-07-25 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-11-20 | Won |
| 1114 | 1111 | 50% | 2015-11-18 | Won |
| 1099 | 1114 | 48% | 2015-08-25 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1135 | 52% | 2015-06-20 | Lost |
| 1037 | 961 | 61% | 2014-07-30 | Won |
| 1100 | 972 | 68% | 2014-05-15 | Won |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2014-05-12 | Won |
| 1220 | 1212 | 51% | 2014-05-03 | Lost |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-09-02 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2012-05-08 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1010 | 54% | 2012-05-08 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-11-09 | Lost |
| 969 | 985 | 48% | 2010-12-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1033 | 59% | 2010-10-02 | Lost |
| 913 | 1216 | 15% | 2009-12-26 | Lost |
| 991 | 1012 | 47% | 2009-11-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 1026 | 47% | 2009-06-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1039 | 48% | 2009-04-10 | Won |
| 1096 | 931 | 72% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2009-03-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1216 | 25% | 2009-01-04 | Lost |
| 987 | 955 | 55% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1017 | 920 | 64% | 2008-07-22 | Lost |
| 827 | 827 | 50% | 2008-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-08-31 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1039.6 vs 1035.6 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).