Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 11
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1001 | 58% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 898 | 968 | 40% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1055 | 1038 | 52% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1129 | 1018 | 65% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1141 | 52% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1116 | 45% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1081 | 60% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 996 | 997 | 50% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1028 | 47% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1154 | 904 | 81% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1120 | 950 | 73% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 910 | 1219 | 14% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 918 | 1015 | 36% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1228 | 31% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1336 | 1194 | 69% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1140 | 960 | 74% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1069.5 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).