Dubrovka
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1080 | 44% | 2024-08-30 | Won |
| 855 | 970 | 34% | 2024-08-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 971 | 986 | 48% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1092 | 986 | 65% | 2024-08-17 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1172 | 45% | 2024-08-11 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1243 | 39% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1021 | 58% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2021-02-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 992 | 57% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 993 | 52% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 707 | 990 | 16% | 2020-01-20 | Lost |
| 990 | 707 | 84% | 2019-07-19 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2018-11-22 | Won |
| 1117 | 1066 | 57% | 2018-11-02 | Lost |
| 1140 | 977 | 72% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 1131 | 1103 | 54% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 1059 | 38% | 2018-07-10 | Lost |
| 914 | 1077 | 28% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1158 | 50% | 2018-04-12 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2016-03-08 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1233 | 30% | 2014-02-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1195 | 54% | 2011-09-01 | Won |
| 1052 | 970 | 62% | 2009-08-25 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1058 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).