Early Battles
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (45 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (Russian): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1080 | 1080 | 50% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 997 | 970 | 54% | 2024-11-10 | Won |
| 970 | 1266 | 15% | 2024-06-20 | Lost |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2023-09-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2023-07-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-06-07 | Won |
| 1009 | 1096 | 38% | 2023-02-09 | Won |
| 1111 | 1142 | 46% | 2023-01-26 | Tied |
| 753 | 980 | 21% | 2022-09-03 | Lost |
| 1201 | 970 | 79% | 2022-05-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1011 | 58% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1034 | 1002 | 55% | 2021-09-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 994 | 51% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 985 | 54% | 2021-05-18 | Lost |
| 1108 | 850 | 82% | 2021-03-24 | Won |
| 999 | 850 | 70% | 2021-03-23 | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2021-02-12 | Lost |
| 1002 | 969 | 55% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 993 | 942 | 57% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
| 913 | 940 | 46% | 2020-11-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 845 | 84% | 2020-07-29 | Won |
| 1163 | 1126 | 55% | 2020-06-11 | Won |
| 1126 | 1229 | 36% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1049 | 50% | 2020-03-20 | Won |
| 947 | 845 | 64% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 924 | 864 | 59% | 2020-01-07 | Lost |
| 931 | 1173 | 20% | 2019-11-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1219 | 19% | 2019-10-22 | Lost |
| 1026 | 989 | 55% | 2019-09-22 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1072 | 48% | 2018-06-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1164 | 31% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1004 | 45% | 2017-01-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1083 | 49% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
| 877 | 970 | 37% | 2016-08-20 | Tied |
| 1209 | 1216 | 49% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 869 | 847 | 53% | 2014-08-25 | Won |
| 1161 | 1216 | 42% | 2014-01-25 | Lost |
| 983 | 1029 | 43% | 2012-03-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-12-31 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2009-02-28 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2009-01-15 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-06-30 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-04-16 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1029.6 vs 1026.8 has a 50.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).