Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Romanian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1130 | 43% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1130 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 916 | 999 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1109 | 1051 | 58% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1109 | 42% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1109 | 49% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1102 | 51% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 922 | 1065 | 31% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1063.7 vs 1041.8 has a 53.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).