Exceeding Expectations
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Romanian): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 1152 | 40% | 2021-01-28 | Lost |
| 1148 | 704 | 93% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
| 1152 | 1166 | 48% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 927 | 999 | 40% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2018-11-16 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1132 | 43% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1085 | 57% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 926 | 1060 | 32% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1065.3 vs 1048.2 has a 52.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).