Operation Schwarz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (9 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Croatian): 13
Defender wins (NOVJ): 27
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 975 | 50% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1066 | 1153 | 38% | 2014-05-24 | Won |
| 1060 | 1004 | 58% | 2010-01-31 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1133 | 38% | 2007-03-05 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-12-19 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-12-12 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1148 | 40% | 2006-09-21 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1015 | 55% | 2006-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1080.4 has a 47.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).