Lenin's Sons
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 43
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1029 | 1073 | 44% | 2025-04-09 | Won |
| 991 | 1029 | 45% | 2025-03-26 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Lost |
| 870 | 1193 | 13% | 2024-10-02 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 1057 | 1313 | 19% | 2024-03-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 994 | 50% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 983 | 1051 | 40% | 2023-11-16 | Lost |
| 1007 | 892 | 66% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 996 | 969 | 54% | 2023-09-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 969 | 62% | 2023-08-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1013 | 68% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 971 | 51% | 2023-06-24 | Lost |
| 972 | 1050 | 39% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
| 971 | 901 | 60% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2023-04-30 | Won |
| 1156 | 1126 | 54% | 2023-04-01 | Won |
| 1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-16 | Won |
| 1112 | 1059 | 58% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1431 | 1018 | 92% | 2022-02-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 999 | 59% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
| 975 | 983 | 49% | 2021-09-26 | Won |
| 1031 | 1220 | 25% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1023 | 44% | 2021-07-28 | Lost |
| 992 | 1173 | 26% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 1010 | 958 | 57% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2021-01-31 | Won |
| 896 | 908 | 48% | 2020-11-18 | Won |
| 1031 | 967 | 59% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
| 1133 | 1070 | 59% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 979 | 1023 | 44% | 2020-01-02 | Lost |
| 974 | 976 | 50% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1220 | 35% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 957 | 1055 | 36% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 621 | 877 | 19% | 2019-07-04 | Won |
| 1055 | 915 | 69% | 2019-04-14 | Lost |
| 997 | 1055 | 42% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1075 | 1009 | 59% | 2018-05-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 959 | 70% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1153 | 982 | 73% | 2018-01-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1215 | 22% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1089 | 1105 | 48% | 2017-09-02 | Lost |
| 1047 | 896 | 70% | 2017-08-11 | Won |
| 896 | 1058 | 28% | 2017-07-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1313 | 28% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 1018 | 952 | 59% | 2017-01-31 | Lost |
| 1154 | 999 | 71% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 1004 | 1044 | 44% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1148 | 59% | 2016-01-14 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1004 | 53% | 2015-08-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1029 | 46% | 2015-01-25 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1100 | 65% | 2014-10-08 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1144 | 37% | 2014-04-29 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 972 | 1095 | 33% | 2013-07-25 | Won |
| 1132 | 1004 | 68% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 746 | 694 | 57% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 921 | 63% | 2012-05-14 | Won |
| 1099 | 694 | 91% | 2011-10-15 | Lost |
| 928 | 1009 | 39% | 2011-09-24 | Lost |
| 994 | 1099 | 35% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1011 | 1029 | 47% | 2011-04-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 1056 | 44% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 949 | 988 | 44% | 2010-03-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1060 | 42% | 2010-02-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1202 | 37% | 2009-12-11 | Won |
| 1001 | 823 | 74% | 2009-07-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 999 | 61% | 2009-03-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1313 | 13% | 2008-06-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 999 | 48% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
| 1012 | 1189 | 27% | 2007-04-28 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1089 | 45% | 2007-03-08 | Won |
| 1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2007-02-17 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2007-01-27 | Lost |
| 1001 | 956 | 56% | 2006-12-09 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1228 | 23% | 2006-11-30 | Won |
| 851 | 1189 | 13% | 2006-10-28 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1029 | 58% | 2006-10-03 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-09-13 | Won |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2006-09-12 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2006-09-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1041 | 38% | 2006-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (40 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 1044.2 has a 49.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).