Pursuing Kobayashi
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (11 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 23
Defender wins (Japanese): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-11-13 | | Won |
| 1064 | 930 | 68% | 2025-11-12 | | Won |
| 825 | 1033 | 23% | 2024-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1080 | 48% | 2020-11-05 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1118 | 45% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 944 | 1133 | 25% | 2016-07-13 | | Won |
| 918 | 1080 | 28% | 2011-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2006-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2006-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1093 | 1035 | 58% | 2005-08-06 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2005-03-24 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1041.2 has a 49.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).