A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1119 | 41% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1182 | 51% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1187 | 49% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1042 | 1084 | 44% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1084 | 45% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1047 | 55% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1043 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1092 | 1074 | 53% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1031 | 62% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1087.6 vs 1060.4 has a 53.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).