A Hotly Contested Crossroads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 73 (17 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 34
Defender wins (German): 38
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1111 | 1180 | 40% | 2021-04-20 | Lost |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 931 | 1102 | 27% | 2018-06-28 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1088 | 55% | 2018-06-14 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1207 | 46% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1207 | 1176 | 54% | 2016-09-25 | Tied |
| 1072 | 1125 | 42% | 2015-07-19 | Lost |
| 973 | 1125 | 29% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
| 982 | 1059 | 39% | 2013-07-18 | Lost |
| 1125 | 973 | 71% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 971 | 999 | 46% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1046 | 74% | 2012-06-21 | Won |
| 977 | 1088 | 35% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1019 | 60% | 2011-03-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1068 | 53% | 2009-04-26 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1095 | 53% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2003-04-30 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1063.4 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).