First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2023-11-06 | Won |
| 1264 | 1170 | 63% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
| 1075 | 877 | 76% | 2019-10-09 | Won |
| 1150 | 1148 | 50% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1059 | 1060 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 998 | 1030 | 45% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1133 | 1208 | 39% | 2005-02-06 | Won |
| 1076 | 1148 | 40% | 2002-11-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1119.6 vs 1083.9 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).