Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (French): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 986 | 45% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1055 | 45% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 964 | 955 | 51% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1023 | 56% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 865 | 983 | 34% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1213 | 29% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1213 | 16% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 993 | 67% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1128 | 1041 | 62% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1040 | 930 | 65% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1031 | 56% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1310 | 1121 | 75% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1067 | 963 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 943 | 1179 | 20% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1016 | 53% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1114 | 901 | 77% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 931 | 1061 | 32% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 931 | 49% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 979 | 1129 | 30% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1031.2 vs 1041 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).