Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (French): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 926 | 67% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1061 | 49% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1013 | 951 | 59% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 950 | 52% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1055 | 51% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1204 | 27% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 927 | 71% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1193 | 1034 | 71% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 886 | 70% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1313 | 1124 | 75% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1066 | 960 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 963 | 1170 | 23% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1039 | 1004 | 55% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1037 | 47% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 903 | 77% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1148 | 37% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 928 | 1062 | 32% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 928 | 49% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1015 | 68% | 2003-10-05 | Lost |
| 979 | 1105 | 33% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.9 vs 1035.1 has a 50.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).