Brasche Encounter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (French): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1049 | 930 | 66% | 2025-01-16 | Won |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2023-11-20 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1063 | 43% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 1080 | 951 | 68% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 963 | 951 | 52% | 2023-06-29 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1015 | 57% | 2023-04-27 | Lost |
| 864 | 1047 | 26% | 2023-01-25 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1180 | 26% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 925 | 1180 | 19% | 2022-03-17 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2020-04-08 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1031 | 56% | 2020-03-06 | Won |
| 1167 | 1035 | 68% | 2020-01-03 | Lost |
| 1036 | 958 | 61% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1068 | 51% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1340 | 1125 | 78% | 2016-12-01 | Tied |
| 1067 | 962 | 65% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 962 | 1137 | 27% | 2013-08-10 | Won |
| 1040 | 1042 | 50% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2010-04-05 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1058 | 53% | 2008-08-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 903 | 77% | 2008-01-25 | Won |
| 1053 | 1151 | 36% | 2005-10-01 | Lost |
| 927 | 1063 | 31% | 2004-05-02 | Lost |
| 924 | 927 | 50% | 2004-03-31 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1015 | 69% | 2003-10-05 | Lost |
| 987 | 1174 | 25% | 1998-10-24 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1045.8 has a 49.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).