L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (37 on the archive and 127 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 81
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2026-03-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2026-02-28 | | Lost |
| 993 | 977 | 52% | 2025-02-12 | | Lost |
| 977 | 993 | 48% | 2025-02-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 993 | 51% | 2025-01-01 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-07-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1228 | 21% | 2024-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-12-09 | | Won |
| 1084 | 904 | 74% | 2023-10-19 | | Won |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-02-13 | | Won |
| 989 | 969 | 53% | 2020-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 961 | 907 | 58% | 2017-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-05-19 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1063 | 39% | 2017-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2015-11-10 | | Won |
| 1016 | 927 | 63% | 2015-10-07 | | Won |
| 1043 | 930 | 66% | 2015-06-25 | | Lost |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2014-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1100 | 876 | 78% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2010-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1180 | 1000 | 74% | 2010-01-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2009-11-07 | | Lost |
| 938 | 1126 | 25% | 2009-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2009-01-01 | | Won |
| 919 | 1031 | 34% | 2008-09-14 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1180 | 26% | 2008-01-16 | | Won |
| 832 | 1000 | 28% | 2006-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 832 | 72% | 2006-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2005-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 827 | 73% | 2001-01-15 | | Won |
| 827 | 1000 | 27% | 2001-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 1995-10-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 1001.4 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).