L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (Belgian): 13
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2025-02-04 | Won |
| 1104 | 1038 | 59% | 2025-01-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1009 | 43% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1098 | 44% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1109 | 905 | 76% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1093 | 39% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1039 | 47% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 989 | 997 | 49% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 967 | 928 | 56% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1067 | 999 | 60% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 954 | 1051 | 36% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1035 | 60% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 927 | 63% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1102 | 939 | 72% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1039 | 44% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1127 | 881 | 80% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 1013 | 1251 | 20% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1092 | 57% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 996 | 960 | 55% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1125 | 29% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1039 | 62% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1139 | 22% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
| 903 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1142 | 30% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1056 | 57% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 827 | 68% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 827 | 982 | 29% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1028 | 75% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1023.8 vs 1022.3 has a 50.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).