L'Union Fait la Force
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 164 (37 on the archive and 127 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 81
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2026-03-15 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 1018 | 993 | 54% | 2025-02-12 | Lost |
| 993 | 1018 | 46% | 2025-02-04 | Won |
| 1040 | 1018 | 53% | 2025-01-01 | Won |
| 1009 | 1047 | 45% | 2024-07-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-07-08 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1037 | 53% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
| 1131 | 904 | 79% | 2023-10-19 | Won |
| 989 | 1095 | 35% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-26 | Lost |
| 989 | 1045 | 42% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 989 | 984 | 51% | 2020-01-27 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1131 | 38% | 2018-11-25 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1054 | 67% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1055 | 999 | 58% | 2017-05-19 | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1036 | 61% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
| 1016 | 928 | 62% | 2015-10-07 | Won |
| 1072 | 930 | 69% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
| 984 | 1045 | 41% | 2014-05-21 | Lost |
| 1173 | 875 | 85% | 2012-10-06 | Won |
| 913 | 1251 | 13% | 2010-04-24 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1094 | 63% | 2010-01-09 | Won |
| 997 | 1006 | 49% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
| 967 | 1126 | 29% | 2009-05-25 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1045 | 61% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1042 | 33% | 2008-09-14 | Lost |
| 904 | 1012 | 35% | 2008-01-20 | Lost |
| 996 | 1189 | 25% | 2008-01-16 | Won |
| 832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 943 | 832 | 65% | 2006-06-01 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1048 | 58% | 2005-12-28 | Lost |
| 954 | 827 | 68% | 2001-01-15 | Won |
| 827 | 983 | 29% | 2001-01-11 | Lost |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 1995-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1027.8 vs 1022.3 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).