Des Roses pour Vandervoot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (16 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2019-09-16 | | Lost |
| 892 | 1000 | 35% | 2018-11-25 | | Lost |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-01-04 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2010-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1214 | 27% | 2010-03-12 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2010-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2010-01-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2006-12-27 | | Won |
| 827 | 990 | 28% | 2006-05-06 | | Lost |
| 982 | 1000 | 47% | 2005-12-02 | | Won |
| 992 | 965 | 54% | 2005-10-29 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2005-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1211 | 1000 | 77% | 2004-05-03 | | Lost |
| 1069 | 1170 | 36% | 2003-07-27 | | Lost |
| 920 | 1343 | 8% | 2001-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1997-05-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1086.7 has a 40.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).