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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (New Zealand / British): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 918 | 62% | 2025-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2016-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1103 | 36% | 2010-09-24 | | Lost |
| 915 | 1000 | 38% | 2008-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 1000 | 82% | 2004-09-19 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2001-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1006 | 87% | 1999-10-29 | | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.6 vs 1012.4 has a 59.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).