Expelling The Guards
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (6 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2023-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2022-11-04 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1048 | 64% | 2020-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2007-01-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2006-10-20 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 1141 | 54% | 2006-10-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053.7 vs 1061 has a 48.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).