Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1039 | 48% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1028 | 52% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1114 | 1127 | 48% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1020 | 947 | 60% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 1009 | 36% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 927 | 903 | 53% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1333 | 1096 | 80% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1416 | 1173 | 80% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1416 | 1094 | 86% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2006-02-15 | Won |
| 969 | 1063 | 37% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1080.1 vs 1013.3 has a 59.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).