Why at Erp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (16 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2025-09-13 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1029 | 52% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 954 | 1017 | 41% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1001 | 1062 | 41% | 2010-03-08 | Won |
| 906 | 1047 | 31% | 2008-11-16 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2008-07-17 | Lost |
| 925 | 900 | 54% | 2007-11-01 | Won |
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2007-09-09 | Won |
| 1430 | 1006 | 92% | 2007-09-07 | Won |
| 1430 | 1059 | 89% | 2007-03-13 | Won |
| 832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1071 | 70% | 2006-02-27 | Won |
| 1071 | 1071 | 50% | 2006-02-15 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2006-01-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2004-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.1 vs 1027.6 has a 58.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).