The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1090 | 1202 | 34% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1075 | 1031 | 56% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 896 | 957 | 41% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 848 | 923 | 39% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1413 | 985 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1048 | 1107 | 42% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1252 | 20% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1313 | 20% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1109 | 1060 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1060 | 54% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1189 | 29% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1189 | 1011 | 74% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1133 | 61% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1245 | 1105 | 69% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1090.1 vs 1091.7 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).