The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 85 (15 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1030 | 50% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 944 | 956 | 48% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 1085 | 1185 | 36% | 2023-05-08 | Won |
| 940 | 922 | 53% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1419 | 985 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 1047 | 1122 | 39% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1047 | 50% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1261 | 21% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1068 | 1340 | 17% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1124 | 1078 | 57% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1084 | 998 | 62% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1030 | 1206 | 27% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1206 | 1016 | 75% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1073 | 69% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1265 | 1174 | 63% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1101.7 vs 1092.9 has a 51.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).