The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (15 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German (SS)): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1126 | 46% | 2024-05-08 | Won |
| 1084 | 1025 | 58% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 923 | 958 | 45% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
| 919 | 928 | 49% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1400 | 973 | 92% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
| 994 | 1100 | 35% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1010 | 994 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1250 | 21% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
| 1031 | 1310 | 17% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
| 1105 | 982 | 67% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
| 1017 | 1150 | 32% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1150 | 1011 | 69% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1047 | 73% | 2006-04-22 | Won |
| 1275 | 1106 | 73% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1088.1 vs 1068.9 has a 52.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).