Pesky Pachyderms
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (8 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2023-10-18 | Lost |
| 991 | 954 | 55% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1066 | 1200 | 32% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1121 | 36% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 905 | 1167 | 18% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2006-04-17 | Won |
| 1039 | 987 | 57% | 2006-01-13 | Won |
| 1208 | 1064 | 70% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1073.3 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).