Twilight of the Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (12 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 42
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1143 | 43% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-03-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1225 | 25% | 2020-06-30 | Lost |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1143 | 1097 | 57% | 2015-11-12 | Won |
| 1140 | 986 | 71% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1342 | 1149 | 75% | 2011-06-23 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1018 | 77% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
| 1070 | 1036 | 55% | 2005-11-28 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1070 | 41% | 2005-11-18 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1209 | 25% | 2005-08-16 | Won |
| 1096 | 1342 | 20% | 2003-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1105.3 vs 1105.7 has a 49.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).