Race for the Sarvis
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (9 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 872 | 56% | 2021-12-09 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 968 | 56% | 2021-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1292 | 728 | 96% | 2020-11-07 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2014-10-04 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-11-25 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2006-10-31 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1344 | 12% | 2004-01-30 | | Won |
| 1196 | 1310 | 34% | 2002-10-31 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1032 | 45% | 2002-10-01 | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1079.4 vs 1028.2 has a 57.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).