Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 10
Defender wins (Italian / German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 980 | 36% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 745 | 1275 | 5% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1177 | 947 | 79% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1059 | 51% | 2001-06-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 996.4 vs 1057.8 has a 41.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).