Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (Italian / German): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 964 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | | Won |
| 734 | 1187 | 7% | 2020-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2019-01-27 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2001-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 978.3 vs 1097 has a 33.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).