Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 6
Defender wins (Italian / German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 879 | 964 | 38% | 2024-08-02 | Won |
| 757 | 1207 | 7% | 2020-07-13 | Lost |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1103 | 46% | 2001-06-10 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1054 | 57% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1006.4 vs 1060.2 has a 42.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).