Upham's Bar
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (Italian / German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 891 | 964 | 40% | 2024-08-02 | | Won |
| 729 | 1272 | 4% | 2020-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2001-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1343 | 13% | 2000-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 933.6 vs 1131.8 has a 24.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).