Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 102 (20 on the archive and 82 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (German): 54
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1092 | 42% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 941 | 1055 | 34% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1127 | 932 | 75% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1041 | 58% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 987 | 853 | 68% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1058 | 1036 | 53% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1186 | 29% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 985 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1121 | 1032 | 63% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1032 | 44% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1068 | 38% | 2006-02-01 | Lost |
| 1173 | 986 | 75% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1225 | 1112 | 66% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1041 | 60% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
| 726 | 1140 | 8% | 2001-03-20 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1250 | 52% | 2000-05-27 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1033.7 vs 1045.3 has a 48.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).