Objective Exodus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (19 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 47
Defender wins (German): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1091 | 38% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 922 | 1039 | 34% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1256 | 19% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
| 927 | 912 | 52% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1127 | 1013 | 66% | 2018-09-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 1139 | 44% | 2016-07-09 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-31 | Won |
| 1203 | 1038 | 72% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2014-01-30 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1208 | 26% | 2011-07-30 | Lost |
| 936 | 985 | 43% | 2011-06-30 | Won |
| 1120 | 1028 | 63% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
| 990 | 1028 | 45% | 2009-02-01 | Lost |
| 980 | 1014 | 45% | 2006-02-01 | Lost |
| 1127 | 987 | 69% | 2004-10-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1078 | 65% | 2004-04-27 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2002-08-31 | Lost |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 2001-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1044.9 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).