The Getaway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (13 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1156 | 27% | 2022-03-07 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2021-06-18 | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1038 | 47% | 2016-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1272 | 17% | 2016-09-05 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1116 | 24% | 2015-06-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2013-02-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2010-03-05 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2003-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 1999-06-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1999-02-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1068 | 1000 | 60% | 1996-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1011.8 vs 1077.4 has a 40.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).