Holding the Hotton Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 992 | 979 | 52% | 2022-04-08 | Won |
| 1004 | 1252 | 19% | 2022-03-12 | Lost |
| 1099 | 840 | 82% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 953 | 72% | 2020-05-10 | Won |
| 1004 | 985 | 53% | 2019-06-18 | Won |
| 1027 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1099 | 877 | 78% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
| 930 | 986 | 42% | 2015-01-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1075 | 39% | 2014-12-07 | Lost |
| 1220 | 982 | 80% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1096 | 51% | 2010-11-30 | Won |
| 1096 | 1100 | 49% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
| 1061 | 1044 | 52% | 2010-08-28 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1011 | 53% | 2009-11-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2008-12-26 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1089 | 39% | 2008-12-08 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1228 | 37% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 1189 | 977 | 77% | 2006-10-24 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1051 | 57% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1117 | 38% | 2005-02-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1125 | 59% | 2004-11-24 | Won |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2004-02-24 | Won |
| 846 | 1202 | 11% | 2003-12-24 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1003 | 76% | 2001-06-22 | Lost |
| 704 | 1148 | 7% | 1999-07-05 | Won |
| 890 | 1100 | 23% | 1998-09-12 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1079 | 43% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1043.1 vs 1060.2 has a 47.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).