Private Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (8 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-01-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-12-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 888 | 66% | 2012-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-09-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2007-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1043 | 44% | 2003-09-22 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1000 vs 996.3 has a 50.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).