Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 981 | 73% | 2025-11-07 | | Won |
| 967 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-09-04 | | Lost |
| 1103 | 940 | 72% | 2023-10-04 | | Won |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2020-06-04 | | Won |
| 1136 | 947 | 75% | 2020-05-11 | | Won |
| 986 | 1149 | 28% | 2018-09-02 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1028 | 67% | 2018-08-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-04-07 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2005-04-21 | | Won |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2005-03-29 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1088.4 vs 1020.4 has a 59.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).