Fortune Favours The Bold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 991 | 68% | 2025-11-07 | Won |
| 919 | 919 | 50% | 2025-09-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 896 | 77% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 1069 | 975 | 63% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1110 | 946 | 72% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 986 | 922 | 59% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
| 922 | 1028 | 35% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 987 | 1049 | 41% | 2018-04-07 | Won |
| 1252 | 1111 | 69% | 2014-12-23 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1117 | 46% | 2005-04-21 | Won |
| 1117 | 1092 | 54% | 2005-03-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1004.2 has a 58.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).