Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (15 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1124 | 49% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1062 | 65% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1108 | 966 | 69% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 927 | 49% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 938 | 1193 | 19% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1033 | 896 | 69% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1285 | 1313 | 46% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1202 | 25% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1093 | 1077 | 52% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 694 | 91% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1131 | 1059 | 60% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 938 | 1100 | 28% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1051.2 has a 51.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).