Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1066 | 68% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 910 | 75% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1011 | 37% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 966 | 1090 | 33% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1054 | 951 | 64% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1286 | 1219 | 60% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 992 | 1076 | 38% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1107 | 1077 | 54% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 695 | 90% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1025 | 53% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
| 1127 | 1094 | 55% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1099 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1039 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).