Opening Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 973 | 59% | 2025-08-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1039 | 57% | 2024-02-17 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1066 | 62% | 2021-12-12 | Lost |
| 851 | 1123 | 17% | 2021-06-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 904 | 76% | 2021-02-15 | Won |
| 917 | 1024 | 35% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1070 | 41% | 2018-05-29 | Won |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
| 1287 | 1234 | 58% | 2016-07-21 | Tied |
| 1006 | 1170 | 28% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1108 | 1077 | 54% | 2012-11-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 694 | 87% | 2011-11-26 | Won |
| 1047 | 1026 | 53% | 2011-11-05 | Won |
| 1124 | 1003 | 67% | 2009-03-11 | Lost |
| 994 | 1099 | 35% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.2 vs 1030.6 has a 52.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).