Closing the Back Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (4 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1187 | 27% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1057 | 46% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1082 | 58% | 2006-10-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1020 | 61% | 2004-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1069.5 vs 1086.5 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).