First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1001 | 46% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 959 | 1151 | 25% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 982 | 999 | 48% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1034.2 vs 1082.6 has a 43.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).