First Clash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Canadian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 963 | 51% | 2018-11-02 | Won |
| 959 | 1141 | 26% | 2012-06-24 | Tied |
| 1065 | 1192 | 32% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2008-02-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2003-12-15 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1085.7 has a 42.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).