Infantry Probe at Argentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (23 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 46
Defender wins (Free French): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2026-09-22 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2025-09-25 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1080 | 38% | 2025-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2023-01-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1209 | 23% | 2022-03-19 | | Lost |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-10-26 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2019-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2019-06-14 | | Won |
| 1004 | 1054 | 43% | 2017-05-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2017-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2016-04-01 | | Lost |
| 940 | 987 | 43% | 2016-04-01 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2015-03-21 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1062 | 62% | 2012-10-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2010-02-01 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1054 | 55% | 2009-09-19 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1167 | 30% | 2007-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2006-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2005-08-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1075.2 has a 46.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).